COVID incidence in Boston was down a little last week — Will Thanksgiving bring a new surge?

New Sasaki graph compares it with last spring’s peak

Schoolyard News
Boston Parents Schoolyard News

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The most recent Boston data shows the coronavirus spreading a little more slowly last week, but it could speed up again after travel and family gatherings for Thanksgiving.

O’Bryant High School science teacher Go Sasaki took the long view of the pandemic in graphing the weekly report that he produces with Mendell School parent and data analyst Nikki Rivera, showing the incidence rate back to that of last April. The rate of contagion hit 53.4 new cases per day for every 100,000 residents for the week ending April 29. The number for the week ending November 27 was 32.5.

All Boston’s neighborhoods continue to be in the red danger zone according to Governor Charlie Baker’s color scheme introduced in August, when incidence was much lower.

In fact, every neighborhood is at least twice the red limit, which was 8 new cases a day per 100,000. The highest incidence was in East Boston and the northern part of Dorchester.

On the map at the left, “2X,” “3X,” etc. means a neighborhood had an average of two or three times the red danger limit the governor announced in August.

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